Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
11%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
8.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.76
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
5%
16.95
X/1
16%
4.0
X/2
3%
13.5
X/X
12%
6.6
2/1
12%
21.4
2/2
5%
11.0
2/X
5%
19.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
65%
+2.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
11%
Away Win
15%
-3.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
2.13/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.90
+4% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
19.1 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.51 xG 1.39
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 Passes 172
67% Pass Accuracy 56%
28 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
27.10.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-3 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
19.05.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
07.04.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-3 HT 1-2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
03.12.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 2-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
24.09.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-2 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0
AWAY Cercle Brugge
2.19 xG 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
361 Passes 289
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
39 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise beat Cercle Brugge 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 54% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 46%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.19 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 1.33 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 67%, draw 22%, Cercle Brugge 11%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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