Club Brugge 1-0 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.07
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
14.55
X/1
23%
4.3
X/2
6%
10.4
X/X
9%
5.92
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.3
2/2
6%
7.92
2/X
6%
16.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.3 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.94/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.67
-4% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
20.1 Crosses 14.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.10 xG 1.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
445 Passes 378
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 4-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
27.09.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
27.01.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-4 HT 0-3 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
16.09.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 4-2 HT 2-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
22.01.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-2 HT 1-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
26.08.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-3 HT 1-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
1-0
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.26 xG 0.78
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 11
498 Passes 268
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge edged past Sporting Charleroi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Club Brugge had 61% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 39%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.26 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Club Brugge and 1.50 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Sporting Charleroi?

Club Brugge 1-0 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 57%, draw 25%, Sporting Charleroi 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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