Club Brugge 4-2 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.96
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.97
6+ Goals
12%
9.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.72
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.85
X/1
20%
3.92
X/2
5%
13.75
X/X
13%
6.36
2/1
7%
21.7
2/2
9%
11.45
2/X EV+ ✗
8%
19.45
Value flag · 2/X at 19.45 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-11.6pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.7pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
2.14/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.20
+3% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
34.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.6 Crosses 15.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.89 xG 1.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
436 Passes 372
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
27.01.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-4 HT 0-3 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
16.09.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 4-2 HT 2-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
22.01.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-2 HT 1-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
26.08.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-3 HT 1-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
13.02.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
4-2
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
3.06 xG 1.21
57% Ball Possession 43%
25 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
538 Passes 384
91% Pass Accuracy 86%
38 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge saw off Sporting Charleroi 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Club Brugge had 57% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 43%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 3.06 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Club Brugge and 1.17 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Sporting Charleroi?

Club Brugge 4-2 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 54%, draw 26%, Sporting Charleroi 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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