OH Leuven 3-2 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 16 Mar 2025

OH Leuven
3-2 HT 1-1
St. Truidense
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

OH Leuven vs St. Truidense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
28%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 32% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.82
1/2
4%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
13%
5.69
X/2
12%
5.87
X/X
22%
4.11
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
12%
4.01
2/X
6%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.6pp
35%
Draw
30%
+5.2pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-5.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.0pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

OH Leuven v St. Truidense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.40/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.25
+12% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 71%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
15.3 Crosses 16.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

OH Leuven vs St. Truidense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
2W-3D-1L
AWAY St. Truidense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.41 xG 0.85
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
302 Passes 465
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.09.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-1 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
17.05.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
20.04.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
09.12.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
22.10.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 4-0 HT 2-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
28.01.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven edged past St. Truidense 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 35% / 28%) promised a tight game; OH Leuven found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for OH Leuven and 0.83 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs St. Truidense?

OH Leuven 3-2 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 37%, draw 35%, St. Truidense 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OH Leuven) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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