Anderlecht 3-0 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.64
Over 2.5
56%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.53
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.34
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.34 — our 25% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
14%
4.42
X/2
11%
7.54
X/X
12%
4.09
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.0
2/2
16%
6.23
2/X
5%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
57%
-13.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
43%
+13.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.66/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.49
+16% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
16.4 Crosses 16.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.20 xG 0.77
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
327 Passes 225
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-5 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
28.04.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
24.04.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-0 HT 2-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
27.12.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-0 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
05.11.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-3 HT 0-2 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
12.03.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-0 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
3-0
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.88 xG 1.41
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
374 Passes 222
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
38 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht ran out comfortable winners over Cercle Brugge 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Anderlecht as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Anderlecht had 60% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 40%, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 1.88 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Anderlecht and 0.17 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Cercle Brugge?

Anderlecht 3-0 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 42%, draw 25%, Cercle Brugge 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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