Beerschot VA 1-2 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 16 Mar 2025

Beerschot VA
1-2 HT 0-1
Westerlo
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Beerschot VA vs Westerlo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
9.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.42
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
23.4
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
13%
6.77
X/2
12%
5.31
X/X
10%
5.14
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
18%
3.03
2/X
8%
12.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.4 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Beerschot VA v Westerlo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.28/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.61
-23% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
17.6 Crosses 24.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0

Beerschot VA vs Westerlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beerschot VA
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Westerlo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.68 xG 1.61
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
153 Passes 437
61% Pass Accuracy 81%
6 Box Touches 59
10 Crosses 46
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.10.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 2-2 HT 0-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
31.01.2020 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 1-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL2
14.12.2019 Westerlo Westerlo 0-1 HT 0-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
11.10.2019 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 1-2 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL2
07.09.2019 Westerlo Westerlo 2-0 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
04.05.2019 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 3-2 HT 2-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
POST-MATCH Beerschot VA vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo squeezed past Beerschot VA 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Westerlo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beerschot VA had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Beerschot VA and 1.33 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of Beerschot VA vs Westerlo?

Beerschot VA 1-2 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beerschot VA vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beerschot VA win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Beerschot VA 39%, draw 24%, Westerlo 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beerschot VA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beerschot VA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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