Gent 1-2 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 16 Mar 2025

Gent
1-2 HT 0-1
Kortrijk
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Gent vs Kortrijk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.44
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 26% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.56
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
11%
4.6
X/2
10%
7.82
X/X
15%
4.98
2/1
7%
23.4
2/2
12%
5.81
2/X
5%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gent v Kortrijk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.53/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.38
+14% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.9 Crosses 19.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Gent vs Kortrijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kortrijk
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.79 xG 0.99
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
463 Passes 248
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.07.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
26.12.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-2 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
30.07.2023 Gent Gent 3-2 HT 2-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
15.01.2023 Gent Gent 2-1 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
13.11.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-4 HT 0-2 Gent Gent BEL
14.01.2022 Gent Gent 2-2 HT 1-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL

Gent 1-2 Kortrijk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
1-2
AWAY Kortrijk
1.46 xG 1.79
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
372 Passes 254
73% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gent vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kortrijk nicked a narrow win over Gent 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gent at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gent had 56% of the ball to Kortrijk's 44%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.46 to 1.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Gent and 0.83 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of Gent vs Kortrijk?

Gent 1-2 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Pro League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gent 46%, draw 26%, Kortrijk 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gent)
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