Mechelen 2-1 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.72
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
18%
4.8
X/2
13%
7.38
X/X
12%
4.91
2/1
5%
23.4
2/2
11%
5.32
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.61/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.67
+13% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
18.1 Crosses 22.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Dender EH
3.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
3.27 xG 0.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
354 Passes 341
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 22
26.10.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 2-5 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
21.02.2009 Dender EH Dender EH 1-2 HT 0-2 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
29.09.2008 Mechelen Mechelen 4-1 HT 4-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
08.03.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 0-3 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
30.09.2007 Mechelen Mechelen 2-2 HT 1-2 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mechelen
2-1
AWAY Dender EH
2.13 xG 1.42
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
416 Passes 245
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 30
26 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen squeezed past Dender EH 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mechelen as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Mechelen had 60% of the ball to Dender EH's 40%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 2.13 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mechelen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.20 goals for Mechelen and 1.20 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs Dender EH?

Mechelen 2-1 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 44%, draw 26%, Dender EH 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mechelen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mechelen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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