Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 2-1 Slutsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
4.73
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.34 — our 36% vs market 35.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
31%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.4pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Slutsk EU Bookmakers 28%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
0.58/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.41
-62% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
255 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Slutsk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2025 Slutsk Slutsk 0-3 HT 0-3 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
28.09.2024 Slutsk Slutsk 1-1 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
11.05.2024 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
2-1
AWAY Slutsk
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 12
12 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slutsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk edged past Slutsk 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk had 59% of the ball to Slutsk's 41%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk and 0.33 for Slutsk.

What was the final score of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slutsk?

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 2-1 Slutsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slutsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 49%, draw 22%, Slutsk 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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