Neman Grodno 3-1 Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 32% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+1.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.29/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.54
-27% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neman Grodno
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vitebsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2025 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
07.05.2025 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLRK
15.04.2025 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 3-0 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLRK
31.08.2024 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-1 HT 0-1 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
21.04.2024 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 0-1 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
12.03.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-1 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neman Grodno
3-1
AWAY Vitebsk
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Neman Grodno vs Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neman Grodno beat Vitebsk 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neman Grodno as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Neman Grodno had 48% of the ball to Vitebsk's 52%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neman Grodno had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Neman Grodno and 0.50 for Vitebsk.

What was the final score of Neman Grodno vs Vitebsk?

Neman Grodno 3-1 Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neman Grodno vs Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Neman Grodno 57%, draw 22%, Vitebsk 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neman Grodno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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22 Nov 2025
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