Emmen 1-1 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 22 Nov 2025

Emmen
1-1 HT 1-0
Roda
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Emmen vs Roda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.33
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.77
6+ Goals
13%
7.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
29%
3.5
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
12%
5.92
X/2
10%
6.09
X/X
8%
5.65
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
15%
3.66
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 1/1 at 3.5 — our 29% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
39%
+8.0pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emmen v Roda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -3%
1.60/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.54
+20% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
21.2 Crosses 18.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Emmen vs Roda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Roda
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 1.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
365 Passes 325
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.04.2025 Roda Roda 1-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
13.09.2024 Emmen Emmen 1-3 HT 0-1 Roda Roda HOL2
16.02.2024 Roda Roda 3-2 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
15.12.2023 Emmen Emmen 0-1 HT 0-1 Roda Roda HOL2
22.04.2022 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
23.10.2021 Roda Roda 1-2 HT 1-2 Emmen Emmen HOL2

Emmen 1-1 Roda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
1-1
AWAY Roda
1.56 xG 1.98
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
362 Passes 499
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Emmen vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen and Roda shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Emmen at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Emmen had 44% of the ball to Roda's 56%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.56 to 1.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Emmen and 1.50 for Roda.

What was the final score of Emmen vs Roda?

Emmen 1-1 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Emmen 47%, draw 21%, Roda 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Emmen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emmen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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