Limavady United 1-0 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.89
2-3 Goals
45%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.4pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Limavady United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +27%
1.96/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.57
+0% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
301 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Limavady United
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Ards FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
11.10.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 1-4 HT 0-1 Limavady United Limavady United KİRL1
12.04.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 Limavady United Limavady United KİRL1
15.02.2025 Limavady United Limavady United 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
22.11.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 2-0 Limavady United Limavady United KİRL1
10.08.2024 Limavady United Limavady United 0-3 HT 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Limavady United vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Limavady United squeezed past Ards FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Limavady United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ards FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Limavady United and 1.60 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Limavady United vs Ards FC?

Limavady United 1-0 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Limavady United vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Limavady United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Limavady United 55%, draw 26%, Ards FC 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Limavady United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Limavady United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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