Koper 4-1 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
10%
7.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+0.5pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.0pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koper EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
2.09/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.83
+2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koper
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Aluminij
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.08.2025 Aluminij Aluminij 1-0 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
11.04.2024 Koper Koper 2-1 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
16.02.2024 Aluminij Aluminij 1-2 HT 1-1 Koper Koper SLVN
26.11.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 3-2 HT 2-1 Koper Koper SLVN
08.10.2023 Koper Koper 4-1 HT 3-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
05.04.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 1-0 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koper
4-1
AWAY Aluminij
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Koper vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper ran out comfortable winners over Aluminij 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Koper as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Koper had 60% of the ball to Aluminij's 40%, shots finished 22-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Koper and 1.33 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of Koper vs Aluminij?

Koper 4-1 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koper vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Koper 62%, draw 19%, Aluminij 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koper), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Koper) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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