UD San Fernando 0-1 Cadiz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD San Fernando EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz II EU Bookmakers 21%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
0.33/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.62
-79% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD San Fernando
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Cadiz II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2022 Cadiz II Cadiz II 5-0 HT 3-0 UD San Fernando UD San Fernando İS4
12.12.2021 UD San Fernando UD San Fernando 0-0 HT 0-0 Cadiz II Cadiz II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD San Fernando
0-1
AWAY Cadiz II
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UD San Fernando vs Cadiz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz II edged past UD San Fernando 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was UD San Fernando at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, UD San Fernando had 63% of the ball to Cadiz II's 37%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cadiz II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for UD San Fernando and 2.50 for Cadiz II.

What was the final score of UD San Fernando vs Cadiz II?

UD San Fernando 0-1 Cadiz II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD San Fernando vs Cadiz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD San Fernando win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split UD San Fernando 48%, draw 28%, Cadiz II 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UD San Fernando) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UD San Fernando) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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