Roma 5-0 Parma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 22 Dec 2024

Roma
5-0 HT 2-0
Parma
📅22/12/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.64
6+ Goals
13%
6.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.65
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.1
X/1
23%
3.71
X/2
8%
15.75
X/X
8%
7.58
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.75
2/2
10%
11.4
2/X
8%
19.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.75 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-14.2pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.8pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Parma EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.94/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.83
+8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
415 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
20.1 Crosses 12.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Parma
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.13 xG 0.95
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
476 Passes 315
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2021 Parma Parma 2-0 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTA
22.11.2020 Roma Roma 3-0 HT 3-0 Parma Parma İTA
08.07.2020 Roma Roma 2-1 HT 1-1 Parma Parma İTA
16.01.2020 Parma Parma 0-2 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTK
10.11.2019 Parma Parma 2-0 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTA
26.05.2019 Roma Roma 2-1 HT 1-0 Parma Parma İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma
5-0
AWAY Parma
5.44 xG 0.39
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
494 Passes 324
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
46 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roma vs Parma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma cruised past Parma 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Roma had 59% of the ball to Parma's 41%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 5.44 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roma and 1.00 for Parma.

What was the final score of Roma vs Parma?

Roma 5-0 Parma in the Italy - Serie A on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma vs Parma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Roma 54%, draw 23%, Parma 23%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roma) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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