Monza vs Juventus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monza v Juventus — Team-Based Signals
Monza vs Juventus Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Juventus
İTA
0-2
HT 0-2
Monza
İTA
2-1
HT 1-1
Monza
İTK
1-0
HT 0-0
Juventus
İTA
Monza 1-2 Juventus — Actual Match Statistics
Juventus squeezed past Monza 2-1 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Monza had 45% of the ball to Juventus's 55%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.34 to 1.81.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Juventus led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Monza and 1.20 for Juventus.
What was the final score of Monza vs Juventus?
Monza 1-2 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monza vs Juventus?
Before kick-off our model rated an Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Monza 24%, draw 25%, Juventus 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.