Atalanta vs Empoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atalanta v Empoli — Team-Based Signals
Atalanta vs Empoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Atalanta
İTA
2-1
HT 0-1
Empoli
İTA
0-2
HT 0-1
Atalanta
İTA
0-1
HT 0-0
Empoli
İTA
1-4
HT 1-2
Atalanta
İTA
Atalanta 3-2 Empoli — Actual Match Statistics
Atalanta squeezed past Empoli 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Atalanta had 65% of the ball to Empoli's 35%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.35 to 1.28.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Atalanta and 0.50 for Empoli.
What was the final score of Atalanta vs Empoli?
Atalanta 3-2 Empoli in the Italy - Serie A on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atalanta vs Empoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 63%, draw 20%, Empoli 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.