Venezia 2-1 Cagliari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.56
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
9%
12.3
X/1
12%
5.53
X/2
13%
6.12
X/X
13%
4.36
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
16%
4.13
2/X
6%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari EU Bookmakers 37%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.75/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.58
-18% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
23.6 Crosses 24.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cagliari
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 1.13
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
333 Passes 374
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 2-1 HT 2-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
25.02.2023 Venezia Venezia 0-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTB
01.10.2022 Cagliari Cagliari 1-4 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
22.05.2022 Venezia Venezia 0-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
01.10.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 1-1 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
10.04.2004 Venezia Venezia 1-2 HT 0-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
2-1
AWAY Cagliari
1.51 xG 2.06
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
181 Passes 454
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Cagliari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia nicked a narrow win over Cagliari 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Venezia made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Venezia had 32% of the ball to Cagliari's 68%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.51 to 2.06 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cagliari.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cagliari led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Venezia and 1.00 for Cagliari.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Cagliari?

Venezia 2-1 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Cagliari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Venezia 37%, draw 28%, Cagliari 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Venezia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
22 Dec 2024
14:30 Roma vs Parma Analysis →
20:00 Atalanta vs Empoli Analysis →
22:45 Monza vs Juventus Analysis →