Catania 4-0 Sorrento Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.51
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
55%
-6.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.11/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.25
-31% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
24.08.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
18.12.2023 Catania Catania 0-1 HT 0-1 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
4-0
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Catania vs Sorrento Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania cruised past Sorrento Calcio 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Catania as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Catania had 52% of the ball to Sorrento Calcio's 48%, shots finished 16-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sorrento Calcio led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Catania and 0.50 for Sorrento Calcio.

What was the final score of Catania vs Sorrento Calcio?

Catania 4-0 Sorrento Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs Sorrento Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Catania 48%, draw 29%, Sorrento Calcio 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catania), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Catania) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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