Bordeaux 1-4 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 22 Dec 2024

Bordeaux
1-4 HT 1-1
Rennes
📅22/12/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
France - Cup – 2024/2025

Bordeaux vs Rennes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
6.35
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
50%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 31% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
13%
+11.5pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.3pp
50%
Away Win
67%
-16.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.8pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bordeaux v Rennes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bordeaux EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes EU Bookmakers 71%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.75/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.77/1.03
+34% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 81%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.3
21.0 Crosses 14.1
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

Bordeaux vs Rennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bordeaux
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rennes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.81 xG 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
296 Passes 371
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.01.2023 Bordeaux Bordeaux 1-2 HT 1-1 Rennes Rennes FRK
16.01.2022 Rennes Rennes 6-0 HT 2-0 Bordeaux Bordeaux FR1
26.09.2021 Bordeaux Bordeaux 1-1 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
02.05.2021 Bordeaux Bordeaux 1-0 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
20.11.2020 Rennes Rennes 0-1 HT 0-1 Bordeaux Bordeaux FR1
21.12.2019 Rennes Rennes 1-0 HT 0-0 Bordeaux Bordeaux FR1

Bordeaux 1-4 Rennes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bordeaux
1-4
AWAY Rennes
0.49 xG 1.45
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
240 Passes 585
77% Pass Accuracy 91%
11 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bordeaux vs Rennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes swept aside Bordeaux 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rennes as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bordeaux had 33% of the ball to Rennes's 67%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.49 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bordeaux and 1.67 for Rennes.

What was the final score of Bordeaux vs Rennes?

Bordeaux 1-4 Rennes in the France - Cup on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bordeaux vs Rennes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bordeaux 24%, draw 26%, Rennes 50%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rennes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rennes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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