Guingamp vs Caen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guingamp v Caen — Team-Based Signals
Guingamp vs Caen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Guingamp
FR2
1-2
HT 0-2
Caen
FR2
4-1
HT 2-1
Guingamp
FR2
Guingamp 2-1 Caen — Actual Match Statistics
Guingamp squeezed past Caen 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Guingamp had 48% of the ball to Caen's 52%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.66 to 1.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Caen.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Guingamp and 1.33 for Caen.
What was the final score of Guingamp vs Caen?
Guingamp 2-1 Caen in the France - Cup on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Caen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 45%, draw 27%, Caen 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.