Saint-Etienne vs Marsilya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Saint-Etienne v Marsilya — Team-Based Signals
Saint-Etienne vs Marsilya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 1-1
Marsilya
FR1
3-1
HT 1-1
Saint-Etienne
FR1
2-1
HT 1-1
Saint-Etienne
HAZ
1-0
HT 1-0
Marsilya
FR1
0-2
HT 0-1
Saint-Etienne
FR1
Saint-Etienne 0-4 Marsilya — Actual Match Statistics
Marsilya ran out comfortable winners over Saint-Etienne 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marsilya as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Saint-Etienne had 20% of the ball to Marsilya's 80%, shots finished 4-21, expected goals 0.14 to 1.89.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsilya led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Saint-Etienne and 1.83 for Marsilya.
What was the final score of Saint-Etienne vs Marsilya?
Saint-Etienne 0-4 Marsilya in the France - Cup on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Saint-Etienne vs Marsilya?
Before kick-off our model rated an Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Saint-Etienne 20%, draw 24%, Marsilya 56%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.