Marmande 0-7 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
12.23
Draw
23%
7.78
Away
51%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
10.05
2-3 Goals
40%
2.53
4-5 Goals
24%
2.23
6+ Goals
9%
3.08
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 10.05 — our 27% vs market 5.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
5%
+21.2pp
23%
Draw
9%
+13.9pp
50%
Away Win
85%
-35.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marmande EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 91%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
234 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 465 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marmande
0-7
AWAY Le Mans FC
0.38 xG 3.97
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 15
6 Corners 5
213 Passes 331
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 44
16 Crosses 22
POST-MATCH Marmande vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC ran out comfortable winners over Marmande 7-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Le Mans FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Marmande had 41% of the ball to Le Mans FC's 59%, shots finished 8-26, expected goals 0.38 to 3.97.

What was the final score of Marmande vs Le Mans FC?

Marmande 0-7 Le Mans FC in the France - Cup on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marmande vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Marmande 26%, draw 23%, Le Mans FC 50%. The final score 0-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Mans FC), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FRK More France - Cup
22 Dec 2024
16:45 Auxerre vs Dunkerque Analysis →
16:45 Bordeaux vs Rennes Analysis →
16:45 Saint-Etienne vs Marsilya Analysis →
16:45 Union St-Jean vs Monaco Analysis →
16:45 Still-Mutzig vs Reims Analysis →
19:30 Bobigny vs Angers Analysis →