Sibenik 1-2 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
53%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+5.1pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.6pp
53%
Away Win
63%
-9.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sibenik EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 67%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
0.81/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.89
-18% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -1%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 83%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
15.7 Crosses 18.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sibenik
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.59 xG 1.82
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
299 Passes 400
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.10.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 4-0 HT 2-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
28.05.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 3-0 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
24.05.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-0 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIRK
01.04.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 2-3 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
22.01.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 1-1 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
09.09.2022 Sibenik Sibenik 1-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sibenik
1-2
AWAY Hajduk Split
1.20 xG 1.92
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
231 Passes 306
65% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sibenik vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split nicked a narrow win over Sibenik 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sibenik had 46% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 54%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.20 to 1.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sibenik and 2.50 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of Sibenik vs Hajduk Split?

Sibenik 1-2 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sibenik vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sibenik 19%, draw 28%, Hajduk Split 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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