Rijeka 2-0 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.38
6+ Goals
9%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 26% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-9.4pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.7pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.62/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.33
+27% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.0 Crosses 15.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 0.61
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
328 Passes 236
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
16.03.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
10.12.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-4 HT 0-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
24.09.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
01.05.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-3 HT 0-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
25.02.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 0-1 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
2-0
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.19 xG 0.44
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
294 Passes 317
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka beat Slaven Belupo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Rijeka had 49% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 51%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.19 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rijeka and 1.00 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo?

Rijeka 2-0 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 55%, draw 27%, Slaven Belupo 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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