Napoli 2-0 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Super Cup, 22 Dec 2025

Napoli
2 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Bologna
📅22/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Italy - Super Cup – 2025/2026

Napoli vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.02
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.65
Over
40%
2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.51
2-3
48%
1.76
4-5
16%
4.55
6+
3%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.95
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
17%
4.7
X/2
10%
7.43
X/X
22%
3.93
2/1
2%
30.0
2/2
12%
6.02
2/X
5%
14.45
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Napoli v Bologna — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Napoli The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna The Market 29%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
– Attack Strength –
– Defense Strength –
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Napoli vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bologna
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.88 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
363 Passes 407
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2025 Bologna Bologna 1-1 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
25.08.2024 Napoli Napoli 3-0 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
11.05.2024 Napoli Napoli 0-2 HT 0-2 Bologna Bologna İTA
24.09.2023 Bologna Bologna 0-0 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
28.05.2023 Bologna Bologna 2-2 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
16.10.2022 Napoli Napoli 3-2 HT 1-1 Bologna Bologna İTA

Napoli 2-0 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
2 - 0
AWAY Bologna
2.13 xG 0.96
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
380 Passes 393
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
31 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Napoli vs Bologna
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Napoli had too much for Bologna 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (60%) came home.

Under the surface, Bologna saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.13 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Napoli against 1.17 for Bologna.

Napoli vs Bologna Result & Final Score

Napoli 2 - 0 Bologna in the Italy - Super Cup on 22/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Napoli vs Bologna Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Napoli 44%, draw 33%, Bologna 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Napoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →