Avustralya 1-1 Özbekistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup, 23 Jan 2024

Avustralya
1-1 HT 1-0
Özbekistan
📅23/01/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Asian Cup – 2023

Avustralya vs Özbekistan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.19
No
66%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2.03
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.53
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.57
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
3%
14.85
X/1
19%
4.59
X/2
10%
5.91
X/X
22%
3.3
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
13%
5.06
2/X
3%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.7pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.6pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.8pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avustralya v Özbekistan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avustralya EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Özbekistan EU Bookmakers 32%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.17/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.46
-84% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Avustralya vs Özbekistan Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avustralya
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Özbekistan
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.82 xG 0.76
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
805 Passes 453
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.01.2019 Avustralya Avustralya 0-0 HT 0-0 Özbekistan Özbekistan ASK
25.01.2011 Özbekistan Özbekistan 0-6 HT 0-2 Avustralya Avustralya ASK
01.04.2009 Avustralya Avustralya 2-0 HT 0-0 Özbekistan Özbekistan DKE

Avustralya 1-1 Özbekistan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avustralya
1-1
AWAY Özbekistan
1.42 xG 0.66
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
469 Passes 361
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Avustralya vs Özbekistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avustralya and Özbekistan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Avustralya at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

On the day, Avustralya had 56% of the ball to Özbekistan's 44%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.42 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Avustralya had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Avustralya and 0.00 for Özbekistan.

What was the final score of Avustralya vs Özbekistan?

Avustralya 1-1 Özbekistan in the Asian Cup on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avustralya vs Özbekistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avustralya win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Avustralya 42%, draw 28%, Özbekistan 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Avustralya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avustralya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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