Hong Kong 0-3 Filistin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup, 23 Jan 2024

Hong Kong
0-3 HT 0-1
Filistin
📅23/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Asian Cup – 2023

Hong Kong vs Filistin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.13
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
49%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.3
6+ Goals
8%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 29% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.62
1/2
4%
22.15
1/X
4%
16.05
X/1 EV+ ✗
17%
9.89
X/2
23%
3.84
X/X
13%
5.47
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
22%
2.07
2/X
4%
15.4
Value flag · X/1 at 9.89 — our 17% vs market 6.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+9.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.3pp
49%
Away Win
56%
-7.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.2pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hong Kong v Filistin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Filistin EU Bookmakers 61%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
231 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Hong Kong 0-3 Filistin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong
0-3
AWAY Filistin
1.39 xG 2.54
33% Ball Possession 67%
14 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 1
131 Passes 400
52% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hong Kong vs Filistin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Filistin cruised past Hong Kong 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Filistin as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hong Kong had 33% of the ball to Filistin's 67%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 1.39 to 2.54.

What was the final score of Hong Kong vs Filistin?

Hong Kong 0-3 Filistin in the Asian Cup on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong vs Filistin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Filistin win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong 30%, draw 21%, Filistin 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Filistin), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Filistin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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