Suriye 1-0 Hindistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.3
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.61
6+ Goals
8%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.96
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.75
X/1
22%
3.61
X/2
10%
11.15
X/X
11%
5.31
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2
4%
9.16
2/X
8%
17.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suriye EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Hindistan EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suriye
1-0
AWAY Hindistan
0.81 xG 0.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
251 Passes 239
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
42 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suriye vs Hindistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suriye edged past Hindistan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Suriye as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Suriye had 52% of the ball to Hindistan's 48%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 0.81 to 0.31.

What was the final score of Suriye vs Hindistan?

Suriye 1-0 Hindistan in the Asian Cup on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suriye vs Hindistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suriye win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Suriye 54%, draw 24%, Hindistan 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suriye), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Suriye) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ASK More Asian Cup
23 Jan 2024
14:30 Avustralya vs Özbekistan Analysis →
18:00 İran vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Analysis →
18:00 Hong Kong vs Filistin Analysis →