Düren Merzenich 5-2 Eintracht Verlautenheide — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
41%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Düren Merzenich The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Verlautenheide The Market 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
446 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Düren Merzenich vs Eintracht Verlautenheide
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Düren Merzenich ran out comfortable winners over Eintracht Verlautenheide 5-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Düren Merzenich as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Düren Merzenich vs Eintracht Verlautenheide?

Düren Merzenich 5-2 Eintracht Verlautenheide in the Friendlies on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Düren Merzenich vs Eintracht Verlautenheide?

Before kick-off our model rated a Düren Merzenich win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Düren Merzenich 46%, draw 23%, Eintracht Verlautenheide 31%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Düren Merzenich), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Düren Merzenich) ✓ BTTS Yes
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