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Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Trethomas Bluebirds v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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Caerau (Ely) dismantled Trethomas Bluebirds 5-1 on the road. Half-time: 1-2. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caerau (Ely) as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Trethomas Bluebirds had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Trethomas Bluebirds against 1.00 for Caerau (Ely).
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely) Result & Final Score
Trethomas Bluebirds 1 - 5 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Trethomas Bluebirds 30%, draw 28%, Caerau (Ely) 41%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.