Afan Lido 0-1 Carmarthen Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 23 Jan 2026

📅23/01/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.04
Draw
22%
3.8
Away Pick
60%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.07
Over
55%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.72
No
47%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
47%
4-5
25%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
1%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Afan Lido The Market 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Carmarthen Town The Market 59%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.05 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.99
1.69 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.83
Strong Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afan Lido
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Carmarthen Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.10.2025 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
01.03.2025 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
27.09.2024 Afan Lido Afan Lido 3-3 HT 0-3 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
02.02.2024 Afan Lido Afan Lido 4-1 HT 2-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
30.09.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 3-3 HT 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
03.02.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 3-0 HT 2-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
REVIEW Afan Lido vs Carmarthen Town
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Carmarthen Town found just enough to beat Afan Lido 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Carmarthen Town as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Afan Lido had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Afan Lido and 1.67 for Carmarthen Town.

Afan Lido vs Carmarthen Town Result & Final Score

Afan Lido 0 - 1 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Afan Lido vs Carmarthen Town Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 18%, draw 22%, Carmarthen Town 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carmarthen Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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