Carmarthen Town 1-0 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-9.7pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.6pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 17%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / -2%
2.31/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/2.01
-15% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Afan Lido
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.03.2025 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
27.09.2024 Afan Lido Afan Lido 3-3 HT 0-3 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
02.02.2024 Afan Lido Afan Lido 4-1 HT 2-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
30.09.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 3-3 HT 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
03.02.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 3-0 HT 2-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
01.10.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 0-3 HT 0-2 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Afan Lido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town squeezed past Afan Lido 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Carmarthen Town as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Afan Lido led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Carmarthen Town and 3.00 for Afan Lido.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Afan Lido?

Carmarthen Town 1-0 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Afan Lido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 58%, draw 25%, Afan Lido 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carmarthen Town), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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