Ammanford 2-1 Cwmbran Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
68%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.3pp
14%
Away Win
14%
-0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 17%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -20%
1.54/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.56
-43% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ammanford
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
25.10.2024 Ammanford Ammanford 6-2 HT 3-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
26.08.2024 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 4-0 HT 1-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
06.01.2024 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 2-1 HT 1-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
17.11.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 4-3 HT 2-2 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
10.04.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-1 HT 0-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
26.02.2022 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-0 HT 0-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ammanford edged past Cwmbran Celtic 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ammanford as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cwmbran Celtic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ammanford and 2.17 for Cwmbran Celtic.

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Ammanford 2-1 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 61%, draw 25%, Cwmbran Celtic 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ammanford) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ammanford) ✗ Under 2.5
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