Al Kahrabaa 0-1 Al Mosul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 23 Jan 2026

📅23/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.57
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.03
No
64%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
35%
+7.6pp
26%
Draw
32%
-5.8pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
45%
-9.4pp
64%
BTTS No
55%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kahrabaa EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mosul EU Bookmakers 37%
+20% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.60/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+42% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / -49%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Kahrabaa vs Al Mosul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mosul nicked a narrow win over Al Kahrabaa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Kahrabaa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Kahrabaa vs Al Mosul?

Al Kahrabaa 0-1 Al Mosul in the Iraq - Premier League on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kahrabaa vs Al Mosul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kahrabaa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Kahrabaa 43%, draw 26%, Al Mosul 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Kahrabaa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Kahrabaa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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