Naft 1-2 Naft Maysan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 23 Jan 2026

📅23/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
36%
3.18
Away
14%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.7pp
36%
Draw
28%
+7.7pp
14%
Away Win
21%
-7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.22/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.50
-10% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +102% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Naft Maysan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
01.03.2024 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 0-0 HT 0-0 Naft Naft IRAK
POST-MATCH Naft vs Naft Maysan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Maysan squeezed past Naft 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Naft at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Naft vs Naft Maysan?

Naft 1-2 Naft Maysan in the Iraq - Premier League on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft vs Naft Maysan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Naft 50%, draw 36%, Naft Maysan 14%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Naft) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
23 Jan 2026
15:00 Erbil vs Al Talaba Analysis →
15:00 Al Kahrabaa vs Al Mosul Analysis →
17:30 Al Minaa Basra vs Al Shorta Analysis →
20:30 Zakho vs Duhok Analysis →