Al Minaa Basra 1-1 Al Shorta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 23 Jan 2026

📅23/01/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.88
No
39%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
49%
+11.6pp
39%
BTTS No
51%
-11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.43/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.00
+68% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
254 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Minaa Basra
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Shorta
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.04.2025 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Shorta Al Shorta IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Minaa Basra vs Al Shorta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Minaa Basra and Al Shorta shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shorta at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Minaa Basra vs Al Shorta?

Al Minaa Basra 1-1 Al Shorta in the Iraq - Premier League on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Minaa Basra vs Al Shorta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Minaa Basra 22%, draw 29%, Al Shorta 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Shorta), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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