Erbil 0-2 Al Talaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 23 Jan 2026

Erbil
0-2 HT 0-1
Al Talaba
📅23/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Erbil vs Al Talaba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
26%
2.77
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
32%
-6.0pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Erbil v Al Talaba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbil EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Talaba EU Bookmakers 36%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.55/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/1.82
+35% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / -34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Erbil vs Al Talaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Talaba got the better of Erbil 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Al Talaba made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Erbil vs Al Talaba?

Erbil 0-2 Al Talaba in the Iraq - Premier League on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbil vs Al Talaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erbil win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Erbil 37%, draw 27%, Al Talaba 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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