BUL 2-1 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 23 Jan 2026

BUL
2-1 HT 1-0
SC Villa
📅23/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
34%
2.7
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.8pp
34%
Draw
34%
+0.3pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.6pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa EU Bookmakers 42%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.22/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.65
+32% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
1W-0D-2L
AWAY SC Villa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2025 BUL BUL 1-0 HT 1-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
26.09.2024 SC Villa SC Villa 2-1 HT 1-0 BUL BUL UGA
15.03.2024 BUL BUL 0-1 HT 0-1 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BUL
2-1
AWAY SC Villa
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH BUL vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL squeezed past SC Villa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 34% / 40% — and on the day BUL made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BUL had 47% of the ball to SC Villa's 53%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, SC Villa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for BUL and 1.00 for SC Villa.

What was the final score of BUL vs SC Villa?

BUL 2-1 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated an SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split BUL 26%, draw 34%, SC Villa 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SC Villa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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