Manchester City vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Manchester City v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals
Manchester City vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Liverpool
İNP
4-1
HT 1-1
Liverpool
İNP
3-2
HT 1-1
Liverpool
İNLK
1-0
HT 0-0
Manchester City
İNP
Manchester City 0-2 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool got the better of Manchester City 2-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Manchester City had 66% of the ball to Liverpool's 34%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.65 to 0.71.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Manchester City and 1.33 for Liverpool.
What was the final score of Manchester City vs Liverpool?
Manchester City 0-2 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Manchester City vs Liverpool?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Manchester City 27%, draw 23%, Liverpool 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.