Ascoli 0-3 Ternana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.81
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+6.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana EU Bookmakers 50%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +13%
0.04/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.65
-96% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +54%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
222 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ternana
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
306 Passes 255
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.10.2024 Ternana Ternana 3-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
27.04.2024 Ternana Ternana 0-1 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
26.09.2023 Ascoli Ascoli 2-0 HT 1-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
15.01.2023 Ternana Ternana 1-0 HT 1-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
14.08.2022 Ascoli Ascoli 2-1 HT 2-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
06.05.2022 Ascoli Ascoli 4-1 HT 2-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
0-3
AWAY Ternana
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Ternana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana cruised past Ascoli 3-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ternana as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ascoli had 53% of the ball to Ternana's 47%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ascoli had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ascoli and 1.00 for Ternana.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Ternana?

Ascoli 0-3 Ternana in the Italy - Serie C on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Ternana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 31%, draw 27%, Ternana 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ternana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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