Sassari Torres 1-0 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.51
6+ Goals
8%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +23%
1.46/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.35
-16% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassari Torres
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Pontedera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 2-3 HT 1-1 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
23.02.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 1-2 HT 0-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
22.10.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 0-0 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
05.03.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 0-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
29.10.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 1-0 HT 0-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassari Torres
1-0
AWAY Pontedera
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Sassari Torres vs Pontedera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassari Torres nicked a narrow win over Pontedera 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sassari Torres as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Sassari Torres had 56% of the ball to Pontedera's 44%, shots finished 17-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sassari Torres and 1.00 for Pontedera.

What was the final score of Sassari Torres vs Pontedera?

Sassari Torres 1-0 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassari Torres vs Pontedera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sassari Torres 51%, draw 27%, Pontedera 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassari Torres), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
23 Feb 2025
00:00 Ascoli vs Ternana Analysis →
14:30 Milan II vs Pescara Analysis →
17:00 Clodiense vs Pro Vercelli Analysis →
17:00 Team Altamura vs Catania Analysis →
17:00 Foggia Calcio vs Rossoblu Potenza Analysis →
17:00 Crotone vs SS Monopoli Analysis →