Pontedera 2-3 Sassari Torres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.54
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontedera EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.00/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.99
-10% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
251 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontedera
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Sassari Torres
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 1-2 HT 0-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
22.10.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 0-0 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
05.03.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 0-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
29.10.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 1-0 HT 0-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontedera
2-3
AWAY Sassari Torres
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Pontedera vs Sassari Torres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassari Torres squeezed past Pontedera 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sassari Torres as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pontedera had 41% of the ball to Sassari Torres's 59%, shots finished 4-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pontedera had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Pontedera and 0.50 for Sassari Torres.

What was the final score of Pontedera vs Sassari Torres?

Pontedera 2-3 Sassari Torres in the Italy - Serie C on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontedera vs Sassari Torres?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 30%, draw 27%, Sassari Torres 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassari Torres) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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