Pro Patria 2-1 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.48
Over 2.5
46%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.18
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
5.73
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.1pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
0.97/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.28
-17% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
227 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Lecco
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.04.2023 Lecco Lecco 2-1 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
04.12.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-0 HT 0-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
01.05.2022 Lecco Lecco 0-2 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
05.02.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
29.09.2021 Lecco Lecco 3-0 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
03.04.2021 Lecco Lecco 0-1 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
2-1
AWAY Lecco
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria edged past Lecco 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Pro Patria found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Pro Patria had 52% of the ball to Lecco's 48%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Patria had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pro Patria and 1.00 for Lecco.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Lecco?

Pro Patria 2-1 Lecco in the Italy - Serie C on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lecco win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 35%, draw 29%, Lecco 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lecco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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