Virtus Verona 2-1 Arzignano Valchiampo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.06
6+ Goals
9%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.85/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.42
-24% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Verona
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.02.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-0 HT 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
07.10.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
05.03.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
30.10.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
30.11.2019 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 HT 0-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Verona
2-1
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Virtus Verona vs Arzignano Valchiampo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Verona squeezed past Arzignano Valchiampo 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Virtus Verona made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Virtus Verona had 50% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 50%, shots finished 15-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Virtus Verona had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Virtus Verona and 0.20 for Arzignano Valchiampo.

What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Virtus Verona 2-1 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 35%, draw 26%, Arzignano Valchiampo 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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