Alcione 1-0 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
52%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.8
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.18
6+ Goals
10%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 33% vs market 29.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
52%
Away Win
52%
+0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcione EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcione
1-0
AWAY Triestina
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Alcione vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcione edged past Triestina 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Triestina at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Alcione had 43% of the ball to Triestina's 57%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Alcione vs Triestina?

Alcione 1-0 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcione vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Alcione 23%, draw 25%, Triestina 52%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Triestina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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