SS Monopoli 1-1 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.44
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.88
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
1.22/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.75
+0% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Crotone
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 0-3 HT 0-2 Crotone Crotone İTC
07.01.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-2 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
02.11.2022 Crotone Crotone 3-2 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTCK
11.09.2022 Crotone Crotone 2-0 HT 2-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
1-1
AWAY Crotone
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli and Crotone shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 56% of the ball to Crotone's 44%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Crotone led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for SS Monopoli and 2.50 for Crotone.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Crotone?

SS Monopoli 1-1 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 39%, draw 30%, Crotone 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SS Monopoli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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