Ternana 3-1 Ascoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.5
6+ Goals
12%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Ascoli EU Bookmakers 26%
-12% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.73/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.78
+21% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ternana
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Ascoli
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.29 xG 1.62
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
284 Passes 301
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Ternana Ternana 0-1 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
26.09.2023 Ascoli Ascoli 2-0 HT 1-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
15.01.2023 Ternana Ternana 1-0 HT 1-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
14.08.2022 Ascoli Ascoli 2-1 HT 2-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
06.05.2022 Ascoli Ascoli 4-1 HT 2-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
14.01.2022 Ternana Ternana 2-4 HT 0-3 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana
3-1
AWAY Ascoli
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Ternana vs Ascoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana beat Ascoli 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ternana as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ternana had 55% of the ball to Ascoli's 45%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ascoli led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ternana and 2.17 for Ascoli.

What was the final score of Ternana vs Ascoli?

Ternana 3-1 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie C on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana vs Ascoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ternana 47%, draw 28%, Ascoli 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ternana) ✗ BTTS No
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