Penya Encarnada 1-0 Pas de la Casa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.3pp
47%
Away Win
51%
-3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Pas de la Casa EU Bookmakers 55%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -68% / -68%
1.00/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-37% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penya Encarnada
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Pas de la Casa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 1-0 HT 0-0 Pas de la Casa AND
10.03.2024 Pas de la Casa 2-2 HT 0-1 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
25.02.2024 Pas de la Casa 0-1 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
01.10.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 2-0 HT 1-0 Pas de la Casa AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penya Encarnada
1-0
AWAY Pas de la Casa
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Penya Encarnada vs Pas de la Casa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penya Encarnada nicked a narrow win over Pas de la Casa 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Pas de la Casa at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Penya Encarnada had 44% of the ball to Pas de la Casa's 56%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Penya Encarnada had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Penya Encarnada and 0.50 for Pas de la Casa.

What was the final score of Penya Encarnada vs Pas de la Casa?

Penya Encarnada 1-0 Pas de la Casa in the Andorra - 1st Division on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penya Encarnada vs Pas de la Casa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pas de la Casa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Penya Encarnada 23%, draw 30%, Pas de la Casa 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pas de la Casa), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pas de la Casa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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