APIA Leichhardt Tigers 0-3 NWS Spirit — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒08:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
55%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-0.9pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
2.43/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.73
-9% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.7 Crosses 14.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
3W-0D-1L
AWAY NWS Spirit
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.58 xG 0.62
51% Ball Possession 49%
22 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
316 Passes 302
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
25.08.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 HT 0-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
18.05.2024 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 0-2 HT 0-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
19.08.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 2-1 HT 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
06.05.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 5-0 HT 3-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs NWS Spirit
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NWS Spirit cruised past APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was APIA Leichhardt Tigers at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 0.50 for NWS Spirit.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs NWS Spirit?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 0-3 NWS Spirit in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs NWS Spirit?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 53%, draw 23%, NWS Spirit 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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